4/10/2023 0 Comments Weather santa cruz noaaThat means the opposite of the conditions most Californians experienced over the last two years - sea surface temperatures are warmer than average, which means rain and snow in California are more likely. There’s a 60% chance an El Niño pattern will develop by the fall, according to NOAA, though it noted that ENSO forecasts are less accurate in the spring. 10 Day Weather - Santa Cruz, CA As of 10:01 am PST Today 50°/ 43° 48 Sat 04 Day 50° 48 WSW 14 mph Cloudy with occasional showers. John Blanchard / The Chronicleīut those neutral conditions may not last for long. Landslides, mudslides, debris flows and flash floods An aerial phot of a landslide that closed Highway 9 in Ben Lomond on Monday. Temperature and moisture patterns for El Niño and La Niña. These columns of vapor move with the weather, carrying an amount of water vapor roughly equivalent to the average flow of water at the mouth of the Mississippi River, NOAA writes. That bears out in NOAA’s three-month weather forecast for California - as of now, there’s an equal chance of either above or below average temperatures and precipitation for the majority of the state. As a result, there’s less push from the Pacific to “influence seasonal climate patterns,” climate scientist Emily Becker wrote in the NOAA blog. That means ENSO has moved into a neutral pattern, when sea surface temperatures are close to average. Last month, sea surface temperatures in the region of the Pacific Ocean used to monitor El Niño and La Niña rose past the La Niña threshold, prompting scientists at the NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center to declare its end. This year, La Niña showed signs of weakening as other weather patterns took over, bringing more rain and colder temperatures despite La Niña’s influence. But, as evidenced by this winter’s unrelenting rain, “that doesn’t happen all the time.” Santa Cruz, CA Weather Forecast AccuWeather Frost Advisory Current Weather 5:42 AM 37° F RealFeel® 37° Air Quality Fair Wind NW 4 mph Wind Gusts 12 mph Partly cloudy More Details. “Like this winter, folks were concerned that La Niña would exacerbate the drought because it does tilt the odds towards drier conditions,” she explained. From Thursday to Friday, downtown San Francisco is expected to pick up 2 to 3 inches of rain, Santa Rosa expects 3 to 4 inches, Concord and San Jose expect 1.
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